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Julian Szafraniec

Principal and Partner
BEc (Hons) (Econometrics)
+61 3 8616 0331

Julian is a spatial economist who has extensive experience in applying economic theories and econometric techniques to urban and regional issues to gain a better understanding of the dynamics of housing, transport, employment and the general economy. He has extensive experience in cost benefit analysis, feasibility assessment, impact assessment and forecasting. Julian’s key areas of expertise lie in employment, demographic and land use forecasting (including social infrastructure), assessing the wider economic impacts of transport infrastructure and spatial analysis.

Julian has delivered numerous projects to various education departments across Victoria. These projects have involved extensive forecasting and analysis around the future demand for education and schools. Julian recently led the development of a custom GIS tool which enabled the client to profile the current provision of schools in an area, forecast future demand, do scenario testing and report on under or over supply of infrastructure in the present and future years.

Julian has been extensively involved in several major housing assessments across Australia, the largest of these being the Housing Capacity Assessment undertaken by the State Government of Victoria. The objective of this project was to provide a comprehensive picture of opportunities and constraints affecting the delivery of new housing in existing urban areas and to determine the ability of established residential areas to accommodate housing growth. Read more about this project here.

Julian also undertook a housing needs assessment for the City of Ballarat which provided clear guidance on the amount of housing needed in Ballarat and considered factors such as land supply, demographic needs and housing form. The assessment also considers the drivers of demand for housing and how key segments of the population influence demand for housing, including location, density, type and affordability.

Julian has written and presented on housing supply in established suburbs of Melbourne.

He has written various papers on policy issues including one on the unplanned source of housing supply which he presented at the Housing Researchers Conference in Adelaide. He also presented on Agglomeration and Labour Productivity in Australian Cities at the Knowledge Cities World Summit in Melbourne.

Julian led the development of Gippland Integrated Land Use Plan: Population Growth Assessment. Through a series of workshops, research and quantitative analysis a range of possible population futures were developed for the Gippsland region. The report investigates growth trends/drivers, potential supply issues and implications for employment and infrastructure. The work fed into the Gippsland Integrated land Use Plan being developed by Department of Transport, Planning and Local Infrastructure.

Julian was involved in the development of the Maroondah 2040: Research Report which provided a comprehensive evidence base for the development of the councils Maroondah 2040 Strategy. Julian presented these findings at two community events: the Maroondah 2040: Future Forum held on 26 June 2013 and the Maroondah 2040: Imagine Maroondah held on 12 October 2013. Read more here.

Read more insights by Julian.